あにき日記

フィギュアスケート好きのあにきの日記

2024
04/19

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2012
03/20

「データベースは結論を得ない。」
角川文庫のベストセラー「古典部」シリーズ（米澤穂信　著）で
主人公の友達、福部智志の言葉。

フィギュアスケートの採点について
詳しく調べようと、過去の成績のデータをかき集めた。
たとえば、振付師による「CC（Choreography/Composition」への影響とか。
たとえば、PCSはどのように上昇していくのか。
などなど。

気まぐれに思える採点に、なんらかの法則を求めて、データを集めた。
しかし、そんな僕を、福部智志は、「さもありなむ」を笑うだろう。

データベースがいくら揃っても
次の大会の結果が解るはずもない。
しかし、世界選手権は目の前。
この不安な感じを何とか払しょくできないものか・・・

ということで、せっかく集めたので、データでちょっと遊んでみた。

シーズンベストとパーソナルベストなるものがある。
パーソナルベストは
トータルポイントとＳＰとＦＳのベストスコアはＩＳＵページですぐに見れるが
シーズンベストは見方がわからない。
ＳＰとＦＳのスコアはＴＥＳとＰＣＳの合算だから、

たとえば、Adam RIPPON ( USA )
Season Best Total Score　221.5 ( Four Continents Championships)
Short Program Total Score 74.92 ( Four Continents Championships)
Free Skating Total Score 146.63 ( Four Continents Championships)

しかし、
ＳＰ Total Element Score　39.79　 (Four Continents Championships)
ＳＰ Components Score　36.54　（Grand Prix of Trophy Eric Bompard）
ＦＳ Total Element Score　74.96　（Grand Prix of Skate Canada）
ＦＳ Components Score　74.88　（Grand Prix of Trophy Eric Bompard)

↑この合算をすれば、
ＳＰ　39.79　＋　36.54　＝　76.33
ＦＳ　74.96　＋74.88　＝　149.84

76.33　＋　149.84　＝　226.17

よし！5点ほど、成績がアップした。
ホントのホントに実力を出せればこんな感じ？ってもんだ。

この調子で他の選手も計算しましょう。

Alexander MAJOROV ( SWE )

SP TSS 68.33( European Championships)
FS TSS 128.48( GP Trophy Eric Bompard)
Total 193.18( European Championships)

SP TES 36.29( European Championships)
SP PCS 32.04( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 68.33

FS TES 65.78( GP Trophy Eric Bompard)
FS PCS 63.56( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 129.34

Total Score (Real) 197.67

Alexei BYCHENKO ( ISR )

SP TSS 54.69( European Championships)
FS TSS 86.5( European Championships)
Total 141.19( European Championships)

SP TES 28.76( European Championships)
SP PCS 25.93( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 54.69

FS TES 42( European Championships)
FS PCS 45.5( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 87.5

Total Score (Real) 142.19

Ari-Pekka NURMENKARI ( FIN )

SP TSS 57.31( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS TSS 93.89( World Championships )
Total 149.91( GP Rostelecom Cup )

SP TES 30.7( World Championships )
SP PCS 27.05( GP Rostelecom Cup )
SP (Real) TSS 57.75

FS TES 43.59( World Championships )
FS PCS 51.6( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS (Real) TSS 95.19

Total Score (Real) 152.94

Artur GACHINSKI ( RUS )

SP TSS 84.8( European Championships)
FS TSS 161.47( European Championships)
Total 246.27( European Championships)

SP TES 45.91( European Championships)
SP PCS 38.89( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 84.8

FS TES 82.61( European Championships)
FS PCS 78.86( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 161.47

Total Score (Real) 246.27

Brendan KERRY ( AUS )

SP TSS 47.01( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 97.25( Four Continents Championships)
Total 144.26( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 24.91( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 23.1( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 48.01

FS TES 49.31( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 47.94( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 97.25

Total Score (Real) 145.26

Brian JOUBERT ( FRA )

SP TSS 67.92( European Championships)
FS TSS 139.91( European Championships)
Total 207.83( European Championships)

SP TES 31.07( European Championships)
SP PCS 38.85( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 69.92

FS TES 61.07( European Championships)
FS PCS 78.84( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 139.91

Total Score (Real) 209.83

Christopher CALUZA ( PHI )

SP TSS 58.02( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 114.58( Four Continents Championships)
Total 172.6( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 30.37( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 27.65( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 58.02

FS TES 52.78( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 61.8( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 114.58

Total Score (Real) 172.6

Daisuke TAKAHASHI ( JPN )

SP TSS 90.43( GP NHK Trophy)
FS TSS 172.63( GP Final)
Total 259.75( GP NHK Trophy)

SP TES 46.14( GP NHK Trophy)
SP PCS 44.29( GP NHK Trophy)
SP (Real) TSS 90.43

FS TES 87.05( GP Final)
FS PCS 90.28( GP NHK Trophy)
FS (Real) TSS 177.33

Total Score (Real) 267.76

Denis TEN ( KAZ )

SP TSS 77.73( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 140.99( GP Skate America)
Total 271.59( GP Skate America)

SP TES 43.44( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 35.29( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 78.73

FS TES 72.13( GP Skate America)
FS PCS 70.08( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 142.21

Total Score (Real) 220.94

Dmitri IGNATENKO ( UKR )

SP TSS 51.61( European Championships)
FS TSS 103.27( European Championships)
Total 154.88( European Championships)

SP TES 29.04( European Championships)
SP PCS 22.57( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 51.61

FS TES 57.43( European Championships)
FS PCS 46.84( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 104.27

Total Score (Real) 155.88

Florent AMODIO ( FRA )

SP TSS 78.48( European Championships)
FS TSS 155.7( European Championships)
Total 234.18( European Championships)

SP TES 39.87( European Championships)
SP PCS 38.61( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 78.48

FS TES 74.14( European Championships)
FS PCS 81.56( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 155.7

Total Score (Real) 234.18

Javier FERNANDEZ ( ESP )

SP TSS 84.71( GP Skate Canada International)
FS TSS 166.29( GP Final)
Total 250.33( GP Skate Canada International)

SP TES 45.6( GP Skate Canada International)
SP PCS 39.28( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 84.88

FS TES 85.48( GP Skate Canada International)
FS PCS 81.4( GP Final)
FS (Real) TSS 166.88

Total Score (Real) 251.76

Javier RAYA ( ESP )

SP TSS 51.98( European Championships)
FS TSS 112.7( European Championships)
Total 164.68( European Championships)

SP TES 26.12( European Championships)
SP PCS 26.86( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 52.98

FS TES 59.14( European Championships)
FS PCS 53.56( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 112.7

Total Score (Real) 165.68

Jeremy ABBOTT ( USA )

SP TSS 83.54( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS TSS 156.16( GP Final)
Total 238.82( GP Final)

SP TES 42.04( GP Rostelecom Cup )
SP PCS 42.33( GP Final)
SP (Real) TSS 84.37

FS TES 74.8( GP Final)
FS PCS 83.44( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS (Real) TSS 158.24

Total Score (Real) 242.61

Jordan JU ( TPE )

SP TSS 49.49( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 85.48( Four Continents Championships)
Total 134.97( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 27.81( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 22.68( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 50.49

FS TES 43.42( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 43.06( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 86.48

Total Score (Real) 136.97

Justus STRID ( DEN )

SP TSS 54.71( European Championships)
FS TSS 101.62( European Championships)
Total 156.33( European Championships)

SP TES 29.09( European Championships)
SP PCS 25.62( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 54.71

FS TES 48.64( European Championships)
FS PCS 54.98( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 103.62

Total Score (Real) 158.33

Kevin ALVES ( BRA )

SP TSS 47.96( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 84.98( Four Continents Championships)
Total 132.94( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 25.4( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 23.56( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 48.96

FS TES 44.08( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 42.9( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 86.98

Total Score (Real) 135.94

Kevin REYNOLDS ( CAN )

SP TSS 68.22( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 140.1( GP Figure Skating Cup of China)
Total 204.41( GP Figure Skating Cup of China)

SP TES 34.36( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 34.86( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 69.22

FS TES 79.3( GP Figure Skating Cup of China)
FS PCS 69.3( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 148.6

Total Score (Real) 217.82

Kevin VAN DER PERREN ( BEL )

SP TSS 71.05( European Championships)
FS TSS 142.39( GP Skate America)
Total 257.59( GP Skate America)

SP TES 37.76( GP Skate America)
SP PCS 34.55( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 72.31

FS TES 74.61( GP Skate America)
FS PCS 67.78( GP Skate America)
FS (Real) TSS 142.39

Total Score (Real) 214.7

Kim LUCINE ( MON )

SP TSS 57.64( European Championships)
FS TSS 121.69( European Championships)
Total 179.33( European Championships)

SP TES 30.91( European Championships)
SP PCS 26.73( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 57.64

FS TES 63.11( European Championships)
FS PCS 58.58( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 121.69

Total Score (Real) 179.33

Laurent ALVAREZ ( SUI )

SP TSS 56.64( European Championships)
FS TSS 102.81( European Championships)
Total 159.45( European Championships)

SP TES 31.89( European Championships)
SP PCS 24.75( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 56.64

FS TES 48.89( European Championships)
FS PCS 53.92( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 102.81

Total Score (Real) 159.45

Maciej CIEPLUCHA ( POL )

SP TSS 54.17( European Championships)
FS TSS 112.69( European Championships)
Total 166.86( European Championships)

SP TES 29.41( European Championships)
SP PCS 24.76( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 54.17

FS TES 61.33( European Championships)
FS PCS 51.36( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 112.69

Total Score (Real) 166.86

Michal BREZINA ( CZE )

SP TSS 79.08( GP Skate America)
FS TSS 153.17( European Championships)
Total 229.3( European Championships)

SP TES 42.05( GP Skate America)
SP PCS 39.22( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 81.27

FS TES 74.15( European Championships)
FS PCS 80.02( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 154.17

Total Score (Real) 235.44

Min-Seok KIM ( KOR )

SP TSS 49.39( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 107.75( Four Continents Championships)
Total 157.14( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 24.64( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 25.75( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 50.39

FS TES 56.53( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 52.22( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 108.75

Total Score (Real) 159.14

Misha GE ( UZB )

SP TSS 64.49( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 132.04( Four Continents Championships)
Total 196.53( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 32.99( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 31.5( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 64.49

FS TES 63.04( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 69( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 132.04

Total Score (Real) 196.53

Nan SONG ( CHN )

SP TSS 76.53( GP Trophy Eric Bompard)
FS TSS 154.03( GP Figure Skating Cup of China)
Total 226.75( GP Figure Skating Cup of China)

SP TES 44.92( GP Trophy Eric Bompard)
SP PCS 32.11( Four Continents Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 77.03

FS TES 86.45( GP Figure Skating Cup of China)
FS PCS 67.64( GP Trophy Eric Bompard)
FS (Real) TSS 154.09

Total Score (Real) 231.12

Patrick CHAN ( CAN )

SP TSS 87.95( Four Continents Championships)
FS TSS 185.99( Four Continents Championships)
Total 273.94( Four Continents Championships)

SP TES 45.73( Four Continents Championships)
SP PCS 43.96( GP Trophy Eric Bompard)
SP (Real) TSS 89.69

FS TES 95.83( Four Continents Championships)
FS PCS 90.16( Four Continents Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 185.99

Total Score (Real) 275.68

Peter LIEBERS ( GER )

SP TSS 61.08( European Championships)
FS TSS 115.67( European Championships)
Total 176.75( European Championships)

SP TES 29.4( European Championships)
SP PCS 31.68( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 61.08

FS TES 61.61( European Championships)
FS PCS 55.06( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 116.67

Total Score (Real) 177.75

Samuel CONTESTI ( ITA )

SP TSS 66.86( European Championships)
FS TSS 145.86( GP NHK Trophy)
Total 212.32( European Championships)

SP TES 31.36( European Championships)
SP PCS 36.5( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 67.86

FS TES 74.52( GP NHK Trophy)
FS PCS 76.42( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 150.94

Total Score (Real) 218.8

Sergei VORONOV ( RUS )

SP TSS 61.15( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS TSS 136.04( GP Rostelecom Cup )
Total 197.19( GP Rostelecom Cup )

SP TES 30.74( European Championships)
SP PCS 31.64( GP Rostelecom Cup )
SP (Real) TSS 62.38

FS TES 74.15( European Championships)
FS PCS 67.84( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS (Real) TSS 141.99

Total Score (Real) 204.37

Takahiko KOZUKA ( JPN )

SP TSS 79.77( GP NHK Trophy)
FS TSS 155.25( GP NHK Trophy)
Total 235.02( GP NHK Trophy)

SP TES 40.88( GP NHK Trophy)
SP PCS 38.89( GP NHK Trophy)
SP (Real) TSS 79.77

FS TES 76.67( GP NHK Trophy)
FS PCS 78.58( GP NHK Trophy)
FS (Real) TSS 155.25

Total Score (Real) 235.02

Tomas VERNER ( CZE )

SP TSS 81.14( European Championships)
FS TSS 144.22( European Championships)
Total 225.36( European Championships)

SP TES 42.39( European Championships)
SP PCS 38.75( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 81.14

FS TES 67.06( European Championships)
FS PCS 78.16( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 145.22

Total Score (Real) 226.36

Viktor PFEIFER ( AUT )

SP TSS 53.58( European Championships)
FS TSS 115.34( European Championships)
Total 168.92( European Championships)

SP TES 27.83( European Championships)
SP PCS 26.75( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 54.58

FS TES 59.64( European Championships)
FS PCS 55.7( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 115.34

Total Score (Real) 169.92

Yuzuru HANYU ( JPN )

SP TSS 82.78( GP Rostelecom Cup )
FS TSS 166.49( GP Final)
Total 245.82( GP Final)

SP TES 45.2( GP Rostelecom Cup )
SP PCS 37.58( GP Rostelecom Cup )
SP (Real) TSS 82.78

FS TES 87.21( GP Final)
FS PCS 79.28( GP Final)
FS (Real) TSS 166.49

Total Score (Real) 249.27

Zoltan KELEMEN ( ROU )

SP TSS 60.12( European Championships)
FS TSS 117.9( European Championships)
Total 178.02( European Championships)

SP TES 34.94( European Championships)
SP PCS 26.18( European Championships)
SP (Real) TSS 61.12

FS TES 58.98( European Championships)
FS PCS 58.92( European Championships)
FS (Real) TSS 117.9
Total Score (Real) 179.02

むむむ・・・・
さすれば、順位は？

1 Patrick CHAN ( CAN ) 275.68
2 Daisuke TAKAHASHI ( JPN ) 267.76
3 Javier FERNANDEZ ( ESP ) 251.76
4 Yuzuru HANYU ( JPN ) 249.27
5 Artur GACHINSKI ( RUS ) 246.27
6 Jeremy ABBOTT ( USA ) 242.61
7 Michal BREZINA ( CZE ) 235.44
8 Takahiko KOZUKA ( JPN ) 235.02
9 Florent AMODIO ( FRA ) 234.18
10 Nan SONG ( CHN ) 231.12
11 Tomas VERNER ( CZE ) 226.36
12 Adam RIPPON ( USA ) 226.17
13 Denis TEN ( KAZ ) 220.94
14 Samuel CONTESTI ( ITA ) 218.80
15 Kevin REYNOLDS ( CAN ) 217.82
16 Kevin VAN DER PERREN ( BEL ) 214.70
17 Brian JOUBERT ( FRA ) 209.83
18 Sergei VORONOV ( RUS ) 204.37
19 Alexander MAJOROV ( SWE ) 197.67
20 Misha GE ( UZB ) 196.53
21 Kim LUCINE ( MON ) 179.33
22 Zoltan KELEMEN ( ROU ) 179.02
23 Peter LIEBERS ( GER ) 177.75
24 Christopher CALUZA ( PHI ) 172.60
25 Viktor PFEIFER ( AUT ) 169.92
26 Maciej CIEPLUCHA ( POL ) 166.86
27 Javier RAYA ( ESP ) 165.68
28 Laurent ALVAREZ ( SUI ) 159.45
29 Min-Seok KIM ( KOR ) 159.14
30 Justus STRID ( DEN ) 158.33
31 Dmitri IGNATENKO ( UKR ) 155.88
32 Ari-Pekka NURMENKARI ( FIN ) 152.94
33 Brendan KERRY ( AUS ) 145.26
34 Alexei BYCHENKO ( ISR ) 142.19
35 Jordan JU ( TPE ) 136.97
36 Kevin ALVES ( BRA ) 135.94

くううう・・・・
結局、余計にあの人に盛ってしまったような。

さすれば、パーソナルベストなら、どうなるか？
順位だけを示すと、

1 Patrick CHAN ( CAN ) 283.40
2 Daisuke TAKAHASHI ( JPN ) 277.45
3 Takahiko KOZUKA ( JPN ) 266.68
4 Jeremy ABBOTT ( USA ) 253.73
5 Brian JOUBERT ( FRA ) 252.68
6 Javier FERNANDEZ ( ESP ) 251.76
7 Artur GACHINSKI ( RUS ) 249.32
8 Yuzuru HANYU ( JPN ) 249.27
9 Michal BREZINA ( CZE ) 247.83
10 Tomas VERNER ( CZE ) 245.27
11 Florent AMODIO ( FRA ) 239.33
12 Adam RIPPON ( USA ) 238.55
13 Samuel CONTESTI ( ITA ) 234.19
14 Kevin REYNOLDS ( CAN ) 232.34
15 Sergei VORONOV ( RUS ) 231.97
16 Nan SONG ( CHN ) 231.12
17 Kevin VAN DER PERREN ( BEL ) 227.73
18 Denis TEN ( KAZ ) 227.07
19 Peter LIEBERS ( GER ) 206.05
20 Alexander MAJOROV ( SWE ) 197.67
21 Misha GE ( UZB ) 196.53
22 Viktor PFEIFER ( AUT ) 187.75
23 Zoltan KELEMEN ( ROU ) 182.00
24 Kim LUCINE ( MON ) 181.50
25 Min-Seok KIM ( KOR ) 177.95
26 Christopher CALUZA ( PHI ) 172.60
27 Ari-Pekka NURMENKARI ( FIN ) 170.88
28 Maciej CIEPLUCHA ( POL ) 169.14
29 Javier RAYA ( ESP ) 165.68
30 Laurent ALVAREZ ( SUI ) 159.45
31 Justus STRID ( DEN ) 158.33
32 Dmitri IGNATENKO ( UKR ) 155.88
33 Brendan KERRY ( AUS ) 145.26
34 Alexei BYCHENKO ( ISR ) 142.19
35 Jordan JU ( TPE ) 141.59
36 Kevin ALVES ( BRA ) 141.49

さらに、面白くない結果になってしまった。
あの壁は、破れないのか・・・

いやいや、そうとばかり言えない。
そうさ。たかが、データベース。

データベースだけでは結論なんてでない。
日本男子は、あの鼻をへし折ってやるにいくのだ。
見てろよ。

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